To no one’s surprise, Ben Carson and Marco Rubio have dropped out this month. Rubio was the establishment favorite after Bush left the campaign trail, and the same things happened to both. Super PACs just don’t have the clout they used to. The GOP’s last stand is now Kasich. I didn’t expect him to win Ohio; I underestimated his popularity there. Bernie Sanders continues to have huge support that can’t get translated into real world votes. Not enough to win a lot of states from Hillary, anyway.
Clinton and Trump are more than halfway to securing nominations. So far it looks like the November election will be these two facing off.
The Republican side is a little different. There are fewer delegates and more candidates, so it could be harder to catch up. Sanders can beat Clinton in delegate count after winning a big state. Can Cruz beat Trump without a state like Florida? Trump is the current favorite there. And after Cruz’s New York values comments, Trump will easily beat him in New York.
If you want to see how the votes stack up in other ways, The Guardian has plenty of detail.
March 5th (Saturday) is the next big day for voters. June 14th is the last day of primary/caucus results.
People are now expecting a Trump versus Clinton head-to-head. National polls for the GOP show Trump with a commanding lead; with Cruz and Rubio fighting for second. National polls for Democrats give Clinton a noticeable lead that fluctuates in strength.