2016’s Final Super Tuesday

United States of America

The tl;dr

Sanders wins 2 states for 283 delegates (total of 1804). Clinton wins 4 states for 372 delegates (total of 2184).

Trump wins all 5 states for 297 delegates. He now has 1536 of the 1237 delegates needed to become the Republican nominee.

This post is current as of 8 June 2016.

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Super Tuesday #4

House with US flag

Some people are calling it a “mini Super Tuesday.” Others aren’t calling it anything in particular.

Regardless, it’s a Tuesday, and people in multiple states headed to polling locations.

tl;dr

  • Trump winning 5 out of 5 in a landslide
  • Clinton projected to win 4 or 5 out of the 5
  • Sanders projected to win 1 or 2 out of the 5

Results as of 9:30 EST on 26 April 2016:

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Another Super Tuesday

USA flag

Clinton and Trump continue to roll on.

To no one’s surprise, Ben Carson and Marco Rubio have dropped out this month. Rubio was the establishment favorite after Bush left the campaign trail, and the same things happened to both. Super PACs just don’t have the clout they used to. The GOP’s last stand is now Kasich. I didn’t expect him to win Ohio; I underestimated his popularity there. Bernie Sanders continues to have huge support that can’t get translated into real world votes. Not enough to win a lot of states from Hillary, anyway.

Clinton and Trump are more than halfway to securing nominations. So far it looks like the November election will be these two facing off.

Winners and losers on Super Tuesday

NYC train station with flag

By delegate count:

Superdelegates are controversial and probably shouldn’t be counted. Those delegates are uncommitted – they don’t make an impact in elections yet. They can change their minds. With only committed delegates it’s a 594/405 split for Democrats.

The Republican side is a little different. There are fewer delegates and more candidates, so it could be harder to catch up. Sanders can beat Clinton in delegate count after winning a big state. Can Cruz beat Trump without a state like Florida? Trump is the current favorite there. And after Cruz’s New York values comments, Trump will easily beat him in New York.

If you want to see how the votes stack up in other ways, The Guardian has plenty of detail.

March 5th (Saturday) is the next big day for voters. June 14th is the last day of primary/caucus results.

People are now expecting a Trump versus Clinton head-to-head. National polls for the GOP show Trump with a commanding lead; with Cruz and Rubio fighting for second. National polls for Democrats give Clinton a noticeable lead that fluctuates in strength.